Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MANA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-07 0.201644 0.233356 0.268405 0.310015 0.358072 0.411846 0.476602
2025-09-14 0.146742 0.187861 0.238018 0.303709 0.387523 0.490964 0.628481
2025-09-21 0.118490 0.162658 0.220337 0.301188 0.411696 0.557638 0.765392
2025-09-28 0.101141 0.146985 0.210279 0.304064 0.439659 0.628910 0.913798
2025-10-05 0.091824 0.140201 0.210291 0.319260 0.484672 0.726863 1.109532
2025-10-12 0.083199 0.132774 0.207763 0.329479 0.522468 0.817406 1.304063
2025-10-19 0.075634 0.125675 0.204407 0.337325 0.556634 0.905165 1.503482
2025-10-26 0.068365 0.117923 0.198794 0.340387 0.582781 0.982210 1.693526
2025-11-02 0.060981 0.108934 0.189900 0.336574 0.596482 1.039536 1.856100
2025-11-09 0.053535 0.098842 0.177842 0.325632 0.596177 1.072340 1.978819
2025-11-16 0.049922 0.095104 0.176324 0.332977 0.628735 1.165295 2.218627
2025-11-23 0.045965 0.090219 0.172119 0.334749 0.650957 1.241436 2.435089
2025-11-30 0.042716 0.086375 0.169553 0.339583 0.680027 1.334349 2.696298
2025-12-07 0.038435 0.080005 0.161473 0.332783 0.685737 1.383406 2.877525
2025-12-14 0.035111 0.075154 0.155788 0.330020 0.698996 1.448283 3.097502
2025-12-21 0.032747 0.072006 0.153158 0.333170 0.724630 1.540528 3.384440
2025-12-28 0.031850 0.071878 0.156742 0.349821 0.780597 1.701304 3.835913
2026-01-04 0.030519 0.070632 0.157788 0.361017 0.825840 1.843823 4.263119
2026-01-11 0.029074 0.068956 0.157695 0.369615 0.866144 1.979597 4.690164
2026-01-18 0.027353 0.066436 0.155436 0.372969 0.894745 2.092042 5.075673
2026-01-25 0.025262 0.062798 0.150222 0.368792 0.905170 2.163860 5.372754
2026-02-01 0.022867 0.058143 0.142133 0.356803 0.895477 2.187485 5.555336
2026-02-08 0.021912 0.056959 0.142212 0.364851 0.935804 2.334741 6.061266